Chocolate Gulch CHOI1

Eagle Creek-Big Wood River, Blaine, ID | 6281ft

CalTopo

NWS Point Forecast

Current conditions

Air temperature

46F

Snow depth

0.0in

Snow water equivalent

0.0in

Percipitation accumulation

15.6in

Wind

N direction

0.0mph speed

0.0mph gust

A 50 percent chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Snow level 7800 feet lowering to 6200 feet after midnight . Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 28. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

Forecast discussion

193 FXUS65 KPIH 150021 AFDPIH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pocatello ID 621 PM MDT Wed May 14 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain and high mountain snow will continue this evening and tonight mainly in the eastern mountains after midnight with more widespread coverage earlier this evening. - Much cooler temperatures will continue through the end of the week, and especially for Sunday, with valley rain and high mountain snow showers continuing off and on Thursday and Friday before becoming more widespread into the weekend. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 124 PM MDT Wed May 14 2025 Upper level trof has shifted east with strong northwest flow aloft continuing to bring in very cold conditions with well below normal temperatures continuing through Thursday. Wrap around moisture with the system passing east will produce showers through tonight and very high mountain snow showers with snow levels 7 thousand to 7500 feet. Lows tonight will be in the 20 sand 30s mountains and 30s to around 40 valleys. Will remain in a cool northwesterly low aloft Thursday with showers persisting and isolated thunderstorms. Will not be as widespread as today but total precipitation amounts thorugh Thursday night generally 0.10 or less central mountains and a few hundredths to 0.20 in the Snake River Plain and 0.10 to 0.30 in eastern mountains. Highs Thursday will be in the 40s and 50s mountains and 50s to near 60 valleys. Lows Thursday night again in the 20s and 30s. Precipitation will end Thursday night. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 124 PM MDT Wed May 14 2025 Guidance solutions in this period are coming together on the first feature that barrels through the western states. There is almost no difference except in the low intensity through Tue. So Fri through Mon will be wet and cold as the incoming upper level trough deepens into a closed low and stays over until Mon. Partial drying out develops Tue. The southerly wind ahead of the upper low keeps a warming trend going into Sat. The trough is south of the forecast area but on our longitudes by Sun afternoon. Cold air floods in as the air flow becomes northerly, pushing highs to 15-20 deg F below normal. It won`t be until Tue that temperatures return to just slightly below normal. Winds continue to track strong to very strong during this period, both at night and during the day. Strongest wind Sun afternoon evening with the upper trough passage. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 606 PM MDT Wed May 14 2025 Lingering showers from heating today in moist northwest flow aloft is still bringing light showers and/or vicinity showers for all TAF sites currently. KDIJ risks some IFR CIGs tonight, but right now keeping with only a SCT deck below 1000ft AGL. KIDA, KPIH and KBYI could see brief MVFR CIGs early tomorrow morning, just have SCT025 for now. KSUN will have no impact to CIG or VSBY, but -SHRA/TSRA will be around for the late afternoon tomorrow into early evening tomorrow. Winds will be slightly breezy for KIDA, KPIH, and KBYI tomorrow afternoon with gusts near 20 kts. VCTS are possible as well for KIDA, KPIH, and KDIJ tomorrow afternoon. Have held off VCTS for KBYI for now. && .PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...GK LONG TERM...Messick AVIATION...Messick/TW